By Leon J Williams
Based on an Eastleigh by-election opinion poll the Lib Dems will lose 16% with Labour gaining 9% and UKIP gaining 9%.
Although we make no mistake in that Labour is of course not ‘left’ that is still part of their image with the UK public.
The full breakdown of the opinion poll is as follows:
CON 34% (-5), LAB 19% (+9%), LDEM 31% (-16), UKIP 13% (+9%)
Of course Eastleigh is/was a firm Lib Dem seat which they now look set to lose and Labour’s national outlook would bring them into power at the next general election.
So although we can dismiss some of this information a Lib Dem voter collapse does look likely in the national picture which will mostly benefit labour but if 50% does go to the right, will the beneficiaries be UKIP or Conservative?
Why Labour?
The electorate, after the Nick Clegg/Lib Dem hopes and betrayal fiasco will largely return to who they voted for before (Labour). This is due to a few reasons such as ‘better the devil you know’, voter apathy and voter tradition.
As I have mentioned before there is really only one genuine ‘left’ party in the UK, the Green Party of England & Wales.
Although their national polls are estimated to increase, we’re only talking about 1%.
Large swathes of the UK electorate have no confidence that genuine change can occur via the ballot which was reinforced with the Lib Dem situation and only really serves to benefit the status quo with Labour and Conservative eternally vying for power.
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